The Department of Homeland Security estimated over the weekend that it would send home about two-thirds of employees at the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency in the event of a government shutdown.
It’s the first time that the second Trump administration has released its contingency plan in response to what would happen if Congress doesn’t keep the government funded after Oct. 1 — something that looks likely at the moment. The furlough of two-thirds of CISA employees is also relatively close to the last time the Biden administration produced shutdown guidance in 2023.
According to the DHS document, 889 of CISA’s 2,540 personnel would keep working through a government funding lapse. That workforce estimate is from May, and could be smaller now. In 2023, DHS anticipated that it would keep 960 of its then-3,117 employees at work.
The Biden administration said that year that it would have had the ability to recall another 790 CISA employees if needed. The latest DHS guidance doesn’t include any information on recallable employees, and CISA didn’t immediately respond to a request for that figure Monday.
Furloughs of cyber personnel could have a whole host of potentially negative consequences, government officials and outside cyber experts have warned. Those consequences could be even worse as the Trump administration slashes the federal workforce, some say.
A temporary reduction could invite more attacks on the federal government; slow down patching, cyber projects and regulations; prompt permanent departures from workers disillusioned about the stability of federal cyber work; hinder cybercrime prosecutions; and freeze cyber vulnerability scans.
The latest CISA furlough estimates are “scary,” one cyber researcher wrote on the social media platform Bluesky. The White House has also instructed agencies to plan for mass firings in the event of a shutdown.
At other agencies, some federal cybersecurity-related personnel are likely to continue working during a federal funding lapse, because the law deems some government functions as “excepted,” such as those focused on missions like national security, law enforcement or protection of property and human safety. For example, at the Health and Human Services Department, the fiscal year 2026 contingency plan states that “HHS estimates that 387 staff (excluding those otherwise authorized by law) will be excepted for the protection of computer data.”
Unlike in past years, agencies are hosting contingency plans on their websites on a case-by-case basis, rather than on the website of the Office of Management and Budget. Some plans that have been published, such as those for the Department of Defense, don’t specify figures for cyber personnel.
Hundreds of thousands of federal workers could be furloughed, in total.
Two major cybersecurity laws, one providing legal protections for cyber threat data sharing and another providing state and local grants, are also set to expire in mere days. A House-passed continuing resolution would’ve temporarily extended them, but the legislation didn’t advance in the Senate.